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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

42%

Fiorentina

2.36

27%

Draw

3.77

31%

Cremonese

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.54

1.15

Cremonese xG

42%
27%
31%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese

2.36

42%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

32%

Fiorentina

3.16

25%

Cremonese

4.00

Win to Nil

13%

Fiorentina

7.46

8%

Cremonese

12.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.1 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.6 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.387
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.537
League avg home goals 1.192
League avg away goals 1.102
Fiorentina attack strength 1.230
Fiorentina defence strength 1.241
Cremonese attack strength 0.841
Cremonese defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17