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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

36%

Fiorentina

2.79

28%

Draw

3.53

36%

Como

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.40

1.20

Como xG

36%
28%
36%
FiorentinaDrawComo

2.79

36%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

30%

Fiorentina

3.31

30%

Como

3.32

Win to Nil

11%

Fiorentina

9.24

11%

Como

9.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.9 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.9 13.1 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.5 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.159
League avg away goals 1.098
Fiorentina attack strength 1.093
Fiorentina defence strength 1.173
Como attack strength 0.929
Como defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41