🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
19%
5.28
26%
3.82
55%
1.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
0 – 2
10.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Fiorentina xG
Total xG
2.66
1.73
Atalanta xG
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta
5.28
19%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
1.82
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.05
Clean Sheet
18%
5.64
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
3%
29.74
22%
4.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 12.1 | 10.4 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.933
λ Away (xG)
1.729
Total xG
2.662
League avg home goals
1.293
League avg away goals
1.185
Fiorentina attack strength
1.194
Fiorentina defence strength
0.874
Atalanta attack strength
1.670
Atalanta defence strength
0.605
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67