Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

29%

Empoli

3.42

35%

Draw

2.83

35%

Venezia

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.85

0.98

Venezia xG

29%
35%
35%
EmpoliDrawVenezia

3.42

29%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

38%

Empoli

2.66

42%

Venezia

2.38

Win to Nil

11%

Empoli

9.11

15%

Venezia

6.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.8 15.5 7.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.4 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 5.9 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.867
λ Away (xG) 0.980
Total xG 1.847
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.139
Empoli attack strength 0.593
Empoli defence strength 1.179
Venezia attack strength 0.730
Venezia defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32