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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 25 Nov 2024

17:30

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

36%

Empoli

2.79

32%

Draw

3.11

32%

Udinese

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.94

0.93

Udinese xG

36%
32%
32%
EmpoliDrawUdinese

2.79

36%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

39%

Empoli

2.54

36%

Udinese

2.74

Win to Nil

14%

Empoli

7.09

12%

Udinese

8.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 13.4 6.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 13.5 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.008
λ Away (xG) 0.934
Total xG 1.942
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.320
Empoli attack strength 0.643
Empoli defence strength 0.770
Udinese attack strength 0.919
Udinese defence strength 1.158
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50