Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

36%

Empoli

2.74

32%

Draw

3.08

31%

Torino

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.83

0.86

Torino xG

36%
32%
31%
EmpoliDrawTorino

2.74

36%

Home win

3.08

32%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

42%

Empoli

2.38

38%

Torino

2.62

Win to Nil

15%

Empoli

6.51

12%

Torino

8.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 13.9 6.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.5 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.5 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.965
λ Away (xG) 0.865
Total xG 1.830
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.292
Empoli attack strength 0.668
Empoli defence strength 0.797
Torino attack strength 0.839
Torino defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53