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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

41%

Empoli

2.46

36%

Draw

2.81

24%

Lecce

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

18.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.70

0.70

Lecce xG

41%
36%
24%
EmpoliDrawLecce

2.46

41%

Home win

2.81

36%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.04

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

50%

Empoli

2.01

37%

Lecce

2.72

Win to Nil

20%

Empoli

4.94

9%

Lecce

11.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.3 12.8 4.5 1.0 0.2
1 18.3 12.8 4.5 1.0 0.2
2 9.2 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.002
λ Away (xG) 0.698
Total xG 1.700
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.320
Empoli attack strength 0.681
Empoli defence strength 0.892
Lecce attack strength 0.593
Lecce defence strength 1.136
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57