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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Empoli

3.27

36%

Draw

2.78

34%

Genoa

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

21.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

17.0%

Away win

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.75

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.56

0.80

Genoa xG

31%
36%
34%
EmpoliDrawGenoa

3.27

31%

Home win

2.78

36%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

46%

Over 1.5

2.17

54%

Under 1.5

1.85

20%

Over 2.5

5.00

80%

Under 2.5

1.25

7%

Over 3.5

14.29

93%

Under 3.5

1.08

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.43

71%

BTTS No

1.41

Clean Sheet

45%

Empoli

2.23

47%

Genoa

2.12

Win to Nil

14%

Empoli

7.30

16%

Genoa

6.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.1 17.0 6.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.9 12.8 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 6.0 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.752
λ Away (xG) 0.803
Total xG 1.555
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.330
Empoli attack strength 0.624
Empoli defence strength 0.789
Genoa attack strength 0.765
Genoa defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55