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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

19%

Empoli

5.36

28%

Draw

3.64

54%

Bologna

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.65

1.71

Bologna xG

19%
28%
54%
EmpoliDrawBologna

5.36

19%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

18%

Empoli

5.53

39%

Bologna

2.55

Win to Nil

3%

Empoli

29.61

21%

Bologna

4.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 12.1 10.4 5.9 2.5 0.9
1 6.6 11.4 9.7 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 3.1 5.3 4.5 2.6 1.1 0.4
3 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.935
λ Away (xG) 1.710
Total xG 2.645
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.297
Empoli attack strength 0.660
Empoli defence strength 1.068
Bologna attack strength 1.234
Bologna defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58