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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

31%

Cremonese

3.19

30%

Draw

3.33

39%

Napoli

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Cremonese xG

Total xG

2.08

1.11

Napoli xG

31%
30%
39%
CremoneseDrawNapoli

3.19

31%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

33%

Cremonese

3.04

38%

Napoli

2.64

Win to Nil

10%

Cremonese

9.69

15%

Napoli

6.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 13.9 7.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.969
λ Away (xG) 1.111
Total xG 2.080
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.111
Cremonese attack strength 0.926
Cremonese defence strength 1.191
Napoli attack strength 0.840
Napoli defence strength 0.846
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 53