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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 16 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

31%

Cremonese

3.25

29%

Draw

3.43

40%

Fiorentina

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Cremonese xG

Total xG

2.17

1.18

Fiorentina xG

31%
29%
40%
CremoneseDrawFiorentina

3.25

31%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

31%

Cremonese

3.25

37%

Fiorentina

2.70

Win to Nil

9%

Cremonese

10.58

15%

Fiorentina

6.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 13.4 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.6 6.6 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.995
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.175
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.159
Cremonese attack strength 0.628
Cremonese defence strength 1.111
Fiorentina attack strength 0.916
Fiorentina defence strength 1.227
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66