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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

19%

Cremonese

5.25

29%

Draw

3.42

52%

Atalanta

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

0 – 2

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Cremonese xG

Total xG

2.46

1.58

Atalanta xG

19%
29%
52%
CremoneseDrawAtalanta

5.25

19%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

21%

Cremonese

4.85

41%

Atalanta

2.42

Win to Nil

4%

Cremonese

25.43

21%

Atalanta

4.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 13.5 10.6 5.6 2.2 0.7
1 7.5 11.9 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.3 5.2 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.3
3 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.882
λ Away (xG) 1.578
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.184
League avg away goals 1.068
Cremonese attack strength 0.900
Cremonese defence strength 1.118
Atalanta attack strength 1.322
Atalanta defence strength 0.827
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 45