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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

48%

Como

2.07

30%

Draw

3.36

22%

Lecce

4.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Como xG

Total xG

1.97

0.73

Lecce xG

48%
30%
22%
ComoDrawLecce

2.07

48%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

4.57

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

48%

Como

2.08

29%

Lecce

3.45

Win to Nil

23%

Como

4.29

6%

Lecce

15.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 10.2 3.7 0.9 0.2
1 17.3 12.6 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.7 7.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 0.730
Total xG 1.968
League avg home goals 1.223
League avg away goals 1.195
Como attack strength 1.139
Como defence strength 0.823
Lecce attack strength 0.742
Lecce defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64