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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

49%

Como

2.05

26%

Draw

3.81

25%

Empoli

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Como xG

Total xG

3.03

1.24

Empoli xG

49%
26%
25%
ComoDrawEmpoli

2.05

49%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

29%

Como

3.46

17%

Empoli

5.98

Win to Nil

14%

Como

7.10

4%

Empoli

23.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.6 10.7 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.7 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.788
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 3.029
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.205
Como attack strength 1.051
Como defence strength 1.159
Empoli attack strength 0.889
Empoli defence strength 1.300
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67