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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

44%

Como

2.26

30%

Draw

3.35

26%

Cremonese

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Como xG

Total xG

2.08

0.86

Cremonese xG

44%
30%
26%
ComoDrawCremonese

2.26

44%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

42%

Como

2.36

30%

Cremonese

3.38

Win to Nil

19%

Como

5.33

8%

Cremonese

13.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.8 4.6 1.3 0.3
1 15.3 13.1 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.3 8.0 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.8 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.218
λ Away (xG) 0.859
Total xG 2.077
League avg home goals 1.179
League avg away goals 1.134
Como attack strength 1.071
Como defence strength 0.898
Cremonese attack strength 0.844
Cremonese defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4