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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

46%

Cagliari

2.18

27%

Draw

3.74

27%

Venezia

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.66

1.13

Venezia xG

46%
27%
27%
CagliariDrawVenezia

2.18

46%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Cagliari

3.09

22%

Venezia

4.62

Win to Nil

15%

Cagliari

6.74

6%

Venezia

16.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 12.1 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.3 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 1.129
Total xG 2.659
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
Cagliari attack strength 1.026
Cagliari defence strength 1.185
Venezia attack strength 0.830
Venezia defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36