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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

36%

Cagliari

2.78

26%

Draw

3.91

38%

Udinese

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.95

1.50

Udinese xG

36%
26%
38%
CagliariDrawUdinese

2.78

36%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

22%

Cagliari

4.49

24%

Udinese

4.25

Win to Nil

8%

Cagliari

12.48

9%

Udinese

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.9 5.9 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 7.6 11.4 8.6 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.2 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.3
3 2.6 4.0 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.446
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 2.948
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.103
Cagliari attack strength 1.021
Cagliari defence strength 1.023
Udinese attack strength 1.331
Udinese defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73