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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

49%

Cagliari

2.04

27%

Draw

3.74

24%

Torino

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.40

0.94

Torino xG

49%
27%
24%
CagliariDrawTorino

2.04

49%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

39%

Cagliari

2.56

23%

Torino

4.30

Win to Nil

19%

Cagliari

5.21

6%

Torino

17.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 8.5 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.5 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.458
λ Away (xG) 0.939
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.212
League avg away goals 1.145
Cagliari attack strength 0.938
Cagliari defence strength 1.034
Torino attack strength 0.793
Torino defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74