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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Thu 30 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Cagliari

2.93

35%

Draw

2.84

31%

Sassuolo

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.03

0.98

Sassuolo xG

34%
35%
31%
CagliariDrawSassuolo

2.93

34%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

37%

Cagliari

2.67

35%

Sassuolo

2.85

Win to Nil

13%

Cagliari

7.82

11%

Sassuolo

9.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 12.9 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.8 13.5 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.2 7.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 0.982
Total xG 2.031
League avg home goals 1.210
League avg away goals 1.058
Cagliari attack strength 0.842
Cagliari defence strength 1.121
Sassuolo attack strength 0.828
Sassuolo defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 8