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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

34%

Cagliari

2.91

27%

Draw

3.67

38%

Napoli

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.45

1.27

Napoli xG

34%
27%
38%
CagliariDrawNapoli

2.91

34%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

28%

Cagliari

3.55

31%

Napoli

3.27

Win to Nil

10%

Cagliari

10.33

12%

Napoli

8.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.9 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.2 12.9 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.7 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.186
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.179
Cagliari attack strength 0.943
Cagliari defence strength 0.984
Napoli attack strength 1.093
Napoli defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67