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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

36%

Cagliari

2.81

31%

Draw

3.18

33%

Lecce

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.39

1.17

Lecce xG

36%
31%
33%
CagliariDrawLecce

2.81

36%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

31%

Cagliari

3.21

30%

Lecce

3.38

Win to Nil

11%

Cagliari

9.04

10%

Lecce

10.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.7 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.219
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.386
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.302
Cagliari attack strength 0.832
Cagliari defence strength 1.145
Lecce attack strength 0.783
Lecce defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58