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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

28%

Cagliari

3.52

29%

Draw

3.40

42%

Lazio

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.91

1.61

Lazio xG

28%
29%
42%
CagliariDrawLazio

3.52

28%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

20%

Cagliari

5.01

27%

Lazio

3.68

Win to Nil

6%

Cagliari

17.61

11%

Lazio

8.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.6 7.4 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 1.611
Total xG 2.913
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.314
Cagliari attack strength 1.037
Cagliari defence strength 1.115
Lazio attack strength 1.100
Lazio defence strength 0.919
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60