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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

41%

Cagliari

2.42

26%

Draw

3.81

32%

Inter

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.96

1.38

Inter xG

41%
26%
32%
CagliariDrawInter

2.42

41%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

25%

Cagliari

3.98

21%

Inter

4.86

Win to Nil

10%

Cagliari

9.66

7%

Inter

14.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.1 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.2 11.3 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.9 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.581
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 2.963
League avg home goals 1.170
League avg away goals 1.128
Cagliari attack strength 1.137
Cagliari defence strength 0.926
Inter attack strength 1.324
Inter defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42