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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

9%

Cagliari

10.95

15%

Draw

6.68

76%

Inter

1.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 3

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Cagliari xG

Total xG

3.35

2.57

Inter xG

15%
76%
CagliariDrawInter

10.95

9%

Home win

6.68

15%

Draw

1.32

76%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

8%

Cagliari

13.07

46%

Inter

2.19

Win to Nil

1%

Cagliari

143.11

35%

Inter

2.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 9.0 11.6 9.9 6.4 3.3
1 2.7 7.0 9.0 7.7 5.0 2.6
2 1.1 2.8 3.5 3.0 1.9 1.0
3 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3
4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.782
λ Away (xG) 2.570
Total xG 3.352
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.337
Cagliari attack strength 0.861
Cagliari defence strength 1.104
Inter attack strength 1.741
Inter defence strength 0.676
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54