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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

30%

Cagliari

3.31

31%

Draw

3.23

39%

Genoa

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.44

1.31

Genoa xG

30%
31%
39%
CagliariDrawGenoa

3.31

30%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

27%

Cagliari

3.71

32%

Genoa

3.10

Win to Nil

8%

Cagliari

12.27

12%

Genoa

8.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.4 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.8 12.9 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.6 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 1.311
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.170
League avg away goals 1.035
Cagliari attack strength 0.870
Cagliari defence strength 1.150
Genoa attack strength 1.102
Genoa defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49