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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

38%

Cagliari

2.62

32%

Draw

3.12

30%

Genoa

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.32

1.08

Genoa xG

38%
32%
30%
CagliariDrawGenoa

2.62

38%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

34%

Cagliari

2.94

29%

Genoa

3.48

Win to Nil

13%

Cagliari

7.70

9%

Genoa

11.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.6 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.1 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.6 8.2 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.246
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.206
Cagliari attack strength 0.975
Cagliari defence strength 1.134
Genoa attack strength 0.788
Genoa defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65