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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

38%

Cagliari

2.64

27%

Draw

3.76

35%

Fiorentina

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.62

1.28

Fiorentina xG

38%
27%
35%
CagliariDrawFiorentina

2.64

38%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

28%

Cagliari

3.61

26%

Fiorentina

3.81

Win to Nil

11%

Cagliari

9.52

9%

Fiorentina

10.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.7 12.5 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.3 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.284
Total xG 2.621
League avg home goals 1.158
League avg away goals 1.193
Cagliari attack strength 1.085
Cagliari defence strength 1.014
Fiorentina attack strength 1.062
Fiorentina defence strength 1.065
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38