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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

48%

Cagliari

2.08

28%

Draw

3.56

24%

Cremonese

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.19

0.85

Cremonese xG

48%
28%
24%
CagliariDrawCremonese

2.08

48%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

43%

Cagliari

2.35

26%

Cremonese

3.82

Win to Nil

20%

Cagliari

4.88

6%

Cremonese

16.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.2
1 15.0 12.8 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.0 8.5 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.5 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 0.853
Total xG 2.193
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 1.167
Cagliari attack strength 0.881
Cagliari defence strength 0.988
Cremonese attack strength 0.740
Cremonese defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31