Cagliari vs Atalanta – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
16%
6.19
20%
4.96
64%
1.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
10.5%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
10.0%
Away win
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Cagliari xG
Total xG
3.04
2.09
Atalanta xG
CagliariDrawAtalanta
6.19
16%
Home win
4.96
20%
Draw
1.57
64%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.16
Clean Sheet
12%
8.10
39%
2.58
Win to Nil
2%
50.13
25%
4.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.949
λ Away (xG)
2.092
Total xG
3.041
League avg home goals
1.344
League avg away goals
1.294
Cagliari attack strength
0.912
Cagliari defence strength
1.209
Atalanta attack strength
1.337
Atalanta defence strength
0.774
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53