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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

53%

Bologna

1.87

25%

Draw

3.95

21%

Pisa

4.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.75

1.01

Pisa xG

53%
25%
21%
BolognaDrawPisa

1.87

53%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

4.71

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

36%

Bologna

2.75

18%

Pisa

5.66

Win to Nil

19%

Bologna

5.14

4%

Pisa

26.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.3 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.8 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.6 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2
4 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.733
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.745
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.166
Bologna attack strength 1.160
Bologna defence strength 0.876
Pisa attack strength 0.991
Pisa defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 5