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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

45%

Bologna

2.23

27%

Draw

3.66

28%

Napoli

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.87

1.25

Napoli xG

45%
27%
28%
BolognaDrawNapoli

2.23

45%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

29%

Bologna

3.47

20%

Napoli

5.06

Win to Nil

13%

Bologna

7.76

6%

Napoli

18.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.1 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.2 11.5 7.1 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.622
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 2.867
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 1.164
Bologna attack strength 1.484
Bologna defence strength 0.896
Napoli attack strength 1.194
Napoli defence strength 0.860
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68