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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lecce Win

30%

Bologna

3.33

31%

Draw

3.22

39%

Lecce

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Bologna xG

Total xG

1.96

1.06

Lecce xG

30%
31%
39%
BolognaDrawLecce

3.33

30%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

34%

Bologna

2.90

41%

Lecce

2.45

Win to Nil

10%

Bologna

9.65

16%

Lecce

6.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 15.0 8.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.6 13.4 7.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.7 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.897
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 1.962
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.167
Bologna attack strength 0.733
Bologna defence strength 1.171
Lecce attack strength 0.780
Lecce defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69