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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

38%

Bologna

2.62

28%

Draw

3.64

34%

Inter

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.90

1.41

Inter xG

38%
28%
34%
BolognaDrawInter

2.62

38%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

24%

Bologna

4.09

22%

Inter

4.45

Win to Nil

9%

Bologna

10.71

8%

Inter

12.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.7 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 8.2 11.6 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.6 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.494
λ Away (xG) 1.408
Total xG 2.902
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.146
Bologna attack strength 1.447
Bologna defence strength 0.885
Inter attack strength 1.388
Inter defence strength 0.826
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70