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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 30 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

60%

Bologna

1.66

23%

Draw

4.26

16%

Hellas Verona

6.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.50

0.77

Hellas Verona xG

60%
23%
16%
BolognaDrawHellas Verona

1.66

60%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

6.08

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

46%

Bologna

2.16

18%

Hellas Verona

5.61

Win to Nil

28%

Bologna

3.60

3%

Hellas Verona

34.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 6.4 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 14.2 11.0 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.0 5.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.724
λ Away (xG) 0.771
Total xG 2.495
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.330
Bologna attack strength 0.984
Bologna defence strength 0.638
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.909
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.304
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55