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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

31%

Bologna

3.27

30%

Draw

3.29

39%

Fiorentina

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.04

1.10

Fiorentina xG

31%
30%
39%
BolognaDrawFiorentina

3.27

31%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

33%

Bologna

3.00

39%

Fiorentina

2.55

Win to Nil

10%

Bologna

9.83

15%

Fiorentina

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 14.4 7.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.936
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 2.036
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.310
Bologna attack strength 0.998
Bologna defence strength 0.705
Fiorentina attack strength 1.191
Fiorentina defence strength 0.696
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52