Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

38%

Bologna

2.60

31%

Draw

3.23

31%

Como

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.55

1.19

Como xG

38%
31%
31%
BolognaDrawComo

2.60

38%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

30%

Bologna

3.30

26%

Como

3.89

Win to Nil

12%

Bologna

8.58

8%

Como

12.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.359
λ Away (xG) 1.193
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.146
Bologna attack strength 1.127
Bologna defence strength 0.997
Como attack strength 1.044
Como defence strength 0.964
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39