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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

54%

Bologna

1.84

28%

Draw

3.60

18%

Como

5.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.66

0.93

Como xG

54%
28%
18%
BolognaDrawComo

1.84

54%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

5.59

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

40%

Bologna

2.52

18%

Como

5.66

Win to Nil

22%

Bologna

4.65

3%

Como

31.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.1 11.2 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.733
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.659
League avg home goals 1.347
League avg away goals 1.333
Bologna attack strength 1.124
Bologna defence strength 0.938
Como attack strength 0.741
Como defence strength 1.145
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 22