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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

54%

Bologna

1.86

27%

Draw

3.74

20%

Cagliari

5.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.69

0.97

Cagliari xG

54%
27%
20%
BolognaDrawCagliari

1.86

54%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

5.09

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

38%

Bologna

2.63

18%

Cagliari

5.60

Win to Nil

20%

Bologna

4.91

4%

Cagliari

28.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.6 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 11.7 11.3 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.722
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.204
Bologna attack strength 1.275
Bologna defence strength 0.967
Cagliari attack strength 0.832
Cagliari defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64