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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

17:00

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

61%

Atalanta

1.64

22%

Draw

4.55

17%

Udinese

5.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.75

0.87

Udinese xG

61%
22%
17%
AtalantaDrawUdinese

1.64

61%

Home win

4.55

22%

Draw

5.93

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

42%

Atalanta

2.38

15%

Udinese

6.54

Win to Nil

26%

Atalanta

3.90

3%

Udinese

38.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 12.0 10.5 4.5 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.1 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.878
λ Away (xG) 0.869
Total xG 2.747
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.188
Atalanta attack strength 1.230
Atalanta defence strength 0.787
Udinese attack strength 0.930
Udinese defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65