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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

52%

Atalanta

1.93

25%

Draw

4.03

23%

Torino

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Atalanta xG

Total xG

3.33

1.32

Torino xG

52%
25%
23%
AtalantaDrawTorino

1.93

52%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

27%

Atalanta

3.75

13%

Torino

7.46

Win to Nil

14%

Atalanta

7.23

3%

Torino

31.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.7 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 6.4 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.010
λ Away (xG) 1.321
Total xG 3.331
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.336
Atalanta attack strength 1.502
Atalanta defence strength 1.086
Torino attack strength 0.911
Torino defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60