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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 9 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

67%

Atalanta

1.49

23%

Draw

4.43

10%

Cremonese

9.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

16.0%

Home win

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.24

0.51

Cremonese xG

67%
23%
AtalantaDrawCremonese

1.49

67%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

9.84

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.04

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

60%

Atalanta

1.66

18%

Cremonese

5.65

Win to Nil

40%

Atalanta

2.47

2%

Cremonese

55.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 5.4 1.4 0.2
1 18.4 9.4 2.4 0.4 0.1
2 16.0 8.1 2.1 0.3
3 9.2 4.7 1.2 0.2
4 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.732
λ Away (xG) 0.508
Total xG 2.240
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.207
Atalanta attack strength 1.210
Atalanta defence strength 0.725
Cremonese attack strength 0.581
Cremonese defence strength 1.157
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23