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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

42%

Atalanta

2.39

29%

Draw

3.48

29%

Cagliari

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.22

0.98

Cagliari xG

42%
29%
29%
AtalantaDrawCagliari

2.39

42%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

37%

Atalanta

2.68

29%

Cagliari

3.43

Win to Nil

16%

Atalanta

6.40

9%

Cagliari

11.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 10.7 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.2 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 8.1 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.232
λ Away (xG) 0.985
Total xG 2.217
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.102
Atalanta attack strength 0.981
Atalanta defence strength 0.990
Cagliari attack strength 0.903
Cagliari defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52