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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

34%

Atalanta

2.92

31%

Draw

3.27

35%

AS Roma

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.02

1.02

AS Roma xG

34%
31%
35%
AtalantaDrawAS Roma

2.92

34%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

36%

Atalanta

2.77

37%

AS Roma

2.73

Win to Nil

12%

Atalanta

8.09

13%

AS Roma

7.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.004
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 2.024
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.100
Atalanta attack strength 0.965
Atalanta defence strength 0.952
AS Roma attack strength 0.974
AS Roma defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55