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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 12 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

32%

Atalanta

3.17

33%

Draw

2.99

35%

AS Roma

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Atalanta xG

Total xG

1.91

0.99

AS Roma xG

32%
33%
35%
AtalantaDrawAS Roma

3.17

32%

Home win

2.99

33%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

37%

Atalanta

2.69

40%

AS Roma

2.52

Win to Nil

12%

Atalanta

8.51

14%

AS Roma

7.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 14.6 7.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.925
λ Away (xG) 0.989
Total xG 1.914
League avg home goals 1.191
League avg away goals 1.139
Atalanta attack strength 1.001
Atalanta defence strength 0.944
AS Roma attack strength 0.919
AS Roma defence strength 0.776
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73