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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

49%

AS Roma

2.05

28%

Draw

3.62

23%

Sassuolo

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.23

0.86

Sassuolo xG

49%
28%
23%
AS RomaDrawSassuolo

2.05

49%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

42%

AS Roma

2.36

25%

Sassuolo

3.95

Win to Nil

21%

AS Roma

4.82

6%

Sassuolo

16.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 9.2 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 14.7 12.7 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 8.7 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.6 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.373
λ Away (xG) 0.858
Total xG 2.231
League avg home goals 1.154
League avg away goals 1.190
AS Roma attack strength 1.111
AS Roma defence strength 0.707
Sassuolo attack strength 1.020
Sassuolo defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 19