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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

44%

AS Roma

2.27

38%

Draw

2.64

18%

Parma

5.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

21.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

21.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

AS Roma xG

Total xG

1.55

0.55

Parma xG

44%
38%
18%
AS RomaDrawParma

2.27

44%

Home win

2.64

38%

Draw

5.53

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

46%

Over 1.5

2.17

54%

Under 1.5

1.85

20%

Over 2.5

5.00

80%

Under 2.5

1.25

7%

Over 3.5

14.29

93%

Under 3.5

1.08

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

28%

BTTS Yes

3.51

72%

BTTS No

1.40

Clean Sheet

58%

AS Roma

1.73

37%

Parma

2.73

Win to Nil

25%

AS Roma

3.94

7%

Parma

15.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.2 11.6 3.2 0.6 0.1
1 21.2 11.7 3.2 0.6 0.1
2 10.6 5.9 1.6 0.3
3 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.5 0.1
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.003
λ Away (xG) 0.550
Total xG 1.553
League avg home goals 1.191
League avg away goals 1.058
AS Roma attack strength 0.873
AS Roma defence strength 0.787
Parma attack strength 0.661
Parma defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46