Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

11:30

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

53%

AS Roma

1.90

23%

Draw

4.33

24%

Parma

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.97

1.16

Parma xG

53%
23%
24%
AS RomaDrawParma

1.90

53%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

31%

AS Roma

3.20

16%

Parma

6.10

Win to Nil

16%

AS Roma

6.09

4%

Parma

25.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.0 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 10.8 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.809
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.971
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.335
AS Roma attack strength 1.165
AS Roma defence strength 0.956
Parma attack strength 0.911
Parma defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16