🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AS Roma Win
43%
2.33
34%
2.98
23%
4.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.5%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.3%
Draw
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
AS Roma xG
Total xG
1.95
0.79
Napoli xG
AS RomaDrawNapoli
2.33
43%
Home win
2.98
34%
Draw
4.26
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.57
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
31%
3.18
Win to Nil
20%
5.12
7%
13.57
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3 | 11.3 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 9.6 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.158
λ Away (xG)
0.788
Total xG
1.946
League avg home goals
1.204
League avg away goals
1.124
AS Roma attack strength
1.040
AS Roma defence strength
0.749
Napoli attack strength
0.935
Napoli defence strength
0.925
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50