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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Mon 24 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

73%

AS Roma

1.37

18%

Draw

5.69

9%

Monza

10.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

AS Roma xG

Total xG

3.36

0.83

Monza xG

73%
18%
AS RomaDrawMonza

1.37

73%

Home win

5.69

18%

Draw

10.80

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

43%

AS Roma

2.30

8%

Monza

12.53

Win to Nil

32%

AS Roma

3.15

1%

Monza

135.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 11.1 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 9.3 7.8 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.9 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.528
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 3.362
League avg home goals 1.329
League avg away goals 1.232
AS Roma attack strength 1.360
AS Roma defence strength 0.845
Monza attack strength 0.801
Monza defence strength 1.399
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63