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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

59%

AS Roma

1.69

24%

Draw

4.14

17%

Lecce

5.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.41

0.75

Lecce xG

59%
24%
17%
AS RomaDrawLecce

1.69

59%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

5.96

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

47%

AS Roma

2.13

19%

Lecce

5.26

Win to Nil

28%

AS Roma

3.60

3%

Lecce

31.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 6.7 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 14.8 11.2 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.8 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.660
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.268
League avg away goals 1.196
AS Roma attack strength 1.294
AS Roma defence strength 0.785
Lecce attack strength 0.803
Lecce defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67